Press Information Bureau
Government of India
Ministry of Earth Science
Government of India
Ministry of Earth Science
10-December-2014 14:53 IST
Rain Deficiency
The large rainfall deficiency occurred during the initial part of the Southwest Monsoon season, especially during the month of June and up to mid-July is due to late onset, and delay in the advance of monsoon over major part of the country.
Integrated Agro-meteorological Advisory Service (AAS) is rendered on twice-weekly basis in collaboration with State Agricultural Universities (SAUs), institutions of Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR), etc. District level weather forecast for next 5-days in respect of:
• Rainfall
• Maximum temperature, minimum temperature,
• Wind speed, wind direction,
• Relative humidity and clouds
• Weekly cumulative rainfall forecast are provided.
Further, crop specific advisories to help the farmers are issued and widely disseminated. The AAS of ESSO-IMD has been successful in providing the crop specific advisories to the farmers through different print/visual/Radio/ IT based media including short message service (SMS) and Interactive Voice Response Service (IVRS) facilitating for appropriate field level actions.
Indian Council of Agriculture Research (ICAR) is advocating several technologies like use of short duration drought tolerant varieties, in-situ soil moisture conservation and water harvesting measures, mulching, micro irrigation, resource conservation technologies and use of poor quality water to tackle the situation of moisture deficit in agriculture across the country. The ICAR has also prepared district level contingent plans for over 500 districts to address seasonal rainfall variability (including drought) impact on agriculture.
Based on scientific assessment of the needs for further augmentation of observing system network, comprising Doppler Weather Radars, rain radars, Automatic Weather Stations (AWSs), Automatic Rain Gauges (ARGs), Snow Gauges etc. expansion has been formulated. In addition, augmenting high performance computing facilities, communication, forecast/warning systems, product dissemination systems etc. are part of a continuous process by which state-of-the-art science and technology tools can be made accessible to the scientists engaged in weather research and forecasting for enhancing the service quality.
Under the National Monsoon Mission initiative institutions of ESSO, the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (ESSO-IITM), Pune, ESSO-IMD, Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (ESSO-INCOIS), Hyderabad and National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ESSO-NCMRWF), NOIDA, have embarked upon to build a state- of-the-art coupled ocean-atmospheric climate model for a) improved prediction of monsoon rainfall on extended range to seasonal time scale (16 days to one season) and b) improved prediction of temperature, rainfall and extreme weather events on short to medium range time scale (up to 15 days) so that forecast skill gets quantitatively improved further for operational services of ESSO-IMD.
Using the Monsoon Mission model (CFS v2.0), ESSO-IITM has been preparing the seasonal forecasts for all India monsoon rainfall from 2012 onwards. Since 2013 onwards, experimental extended range (up to 20 days) forecasts of active-break events of the monsoon are also prepared. Both the seasonal forecasts and extended range forecasts are found to be generally accurate. These forecasts are shared with ESSO-IMD for their operational use.
Under the Monsoon Mission, research proposals were invited from scientists from India and abroad to do research on monsoon process studies and to improve the monsoon prediction models so that monsoon forecasts on different time scales are also improved. So far, 26 research proposals (16 from abroad and 10 from India) were approved for funding under the Monsoon Mission.
Observations of monsoon process studies are also important in order to improve the monsoon prediction models. Therefore, under the Monsoon Mission, a project has been undertaken with the help of academic institutions in India and abroad for a detailed observational programme over the Bay of Bengal.
The primary objective of the programme is to have high resolution ocean observations (like temperature, salinity, ocean current etc) using specialized instruments. This kind of observations is undertaken over the Bay of Bengal for the first time. These observations will be helpful to understand ocean processes over the Bay of Bengal and their representation in numerical models.
Annexure I
STATE-WISE RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION AND SHORT FALLS IN
RAIN DURING WINTER 2014
| ||||
S. NO.
|
STATES
|
ACTUAL
|
NORMAL
|
% DEP.
|
1.
|
A & N ISLAND(UT)
|
50.5
|
82.9
|
-39%
|
2.
|
ARUNACHAL PRADESH
|
120.9
|
148.1
|
-18%
|
3.
|
ASSAM
|
31.2
|
48.4
|
-36%
|
4.
|
MEGHALAYA
|
26.3
|
40.2
|
-35%
|
5.
|
NAGALAND
|
31.3
|
47.5
|
-34%
|
6.
|
MANIPUR
|
14.2
|
46.0
|
-69%
|
7.
|
MIZORAM
|
30.6
|
39.4
|
-22%
|
8.
|
TRIPURA
|
9.3
|
44.7
|
-79%
|
9.
|
SIKKIM
|
19.3
|
143.6
|
-87%
|
10.
|
ORISSA
|
17.6
|
31.8
|
-45%
|
11.
|
HARYANA
|
29.6
|
32.4
|
-9%
|
12.
|
PUNJAB
|
41.9
|
49.5
|
-15%
|
13.
|
HIMACHAL PRADESH
|
184.9
|
195.5
|
-5%
|
14.
|
JAMMU & KASHMIR
|
195.0
|
212.9
|
-8%
|
15.
|
GOA
|
0.0
|
0.6
|
-100%
|
16.
|
ANDHRA PRADESH
|
1.6
|
13.2
|
-88%
|
17.
|
TAMILNADU
|
13.3
|
30.8
|
-57%
|
18.
|
PONDICHERRY(UT)
|
20.9
|
56.7
|
-63%
|
19.
|
KERALA
|
14.9
|
24.3
|
-39%
|
· For remaining subdivision there is no shortfall of rainfall during the season.
· For country as a whole seasonal rainfall was 14% above of its long period average.
Annexure II
STATE-WISE RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION SHORT FALLS IN
RAIN DURING PRE MONSOON 2014
| ||||
S. NO.
|
STATES
|
ACTUAL
|
NORMAL
|
% DEP.
|
1.
|
A & N ISLAND(UT)
|
249.1
|
465.0
|
-46%
|
2.
|
ARUNACHAL PRADESH
|
466.0
|
750.4
|
-38%
|
3.
|
ASSAM
|
403.0
|
556.1
|
-28%
|
4.
|
MEGHALAYA
|
513.9
|
717.9
|
-28%
|
5.
|
NAGALAND
|
200.5
|
413.7
|
-52%
|
6.
|
MANIPUR
|
212.1
|
358.1
|
-41%
|
7.
|
MIZORAM
|
207.9
|
563.7
|
-63%
|
8.
|
TRIPURA
|
492.1
|
710.3
|
-31%
|
9.
|
SIKKIM
|
617.0
|
729.5
|
-15%
|
10.
|
WEST BENGAL
|
185.4
|
214.8
|
-14%
|
11.
|
HIMACHAL PRADESH
|
238.9
|
244.9
|
-2%
|
12.
|
JAMMU & KASHMIR
|
395.0
|
326.0
|
21%
|
13.
|
RAJASTHAN
|
29.9
|
18.0
|
66%
|
14.
|
MADHYA PRADESH
|
15.3
|
18.0
|
-15%
|
15.
|
GUJARAT
|
2.8
|
4.8
|
-41%
|
16.
|
DIU(UT)
|
0.0
|
1.5
|
-100%
|
17.
|
KERALA
|
364.5
|
379.7
|
-4%
|
18.
|
LAKSHADWEEP(UT)
|
76.7
|
232.4
|
-67%
|
· For remaining subdivision there is no shortfall of rainfall during the season.
· For country as a whole seasonal rainfall was normal (0%) of its long period average.
Annexure III
STATE-WISE RAINFALL (MM) DISTRIBUTION SHORT FALLS
FOR THE MONSOON SEASON 2014
| ||||
S. No.
|
States
|
ACTUAL
|
NORMAL
|
% DEP.
|
1.
|
A & N ISLAND(UT)
|
1618.6
|
1682.5
|
-4%
|
2.
|
ARUNACHAL PRADESH
|
1758.3
|
1768.0
|
-1%
|
3.
|
ASSAM
|
1403.8
|
1523.4
|
-8%
|
4.
|
MEGHALAYA
|
2707.9
|
2786.8
|
-3%
|
5.
|
NAGALAND
|
968.5
|
1329.9
|
-27%
|
6.
|
MANIPUR
|
640.1
|
1404.5
|
-54%
|
7.
|
MIZORAM
|
1464.3
|
1708.3
|
-14%
|
8.
|
TRIPURA
|
1451.2
|
1489.1
|
-3%
|
9.
|
WEST BENGAL
|
1209.4
|
1390.4
|
-13%
|
10.
|
JHARKHAND
|
928.3
|
1091.9
|
-15%
|
11.
|
BIHAR
|
848.3
|
1027.6
|
-17%
|
12.
|
UTTAR PRADESH
|
446.7
|
846.1
|
-47%
|
13.
|
UTTARAKHAND
|
897.7
|
1229.1
|
-27%
|
14.
|
HARYANA
|
198.3
|
459.8
|
-57%
|
15.
|
CHANDIGARH(UT)
|
354.5
|
844.2
|
-58%
|
16.
|
DELHI
|
289.3
|
636.2
|
-55%
|
17.
|
PUNJAB
|
244.1
|
491.9
|
-50%
|
18.
|
HIMACHAL PRADESH
|
522.4
|
825.3
|
-37%
|
19.
|
MADHYA PRADESH
|
761.5
|
952.3
|
-20%
|
20.
|
GUJARAT
|
591.5
|
657.6
|
-10%
|
21.
|
MAHARASHTRA
|
867.4
|
1007.3
|
-14%
|
22.
|
CHHATISGARH
|
1106.2
|
1147.3
|
-4%
|
23.
|
ANDHRA PRADESH
|
435.9
|
608.9
|
-28%
|
24.
|
TAMILNADU
|
314.9
|
317.0
|
-1%
|
25.
|
LAKSHADWEEP(UT)
|
964.1
|
998.5
|
-3%
|
· For remaining subdivision there is no shortfall of rainfall during the season.
· For country as a whole seasonal rainfall was -12 % below of its long period average.
Annexure IV
STATE-WISE RAINFALL (MM) DISTRIBUTION SHORTFALL FOR THE PERIOD 01.10.2014 TO 19.11.2014
| ||||
S. NO.
|
STATES
|
ACTUAL
|
NORMAL
|
% DEP.
|
1.
|
ARUNACHAL PRADESH
|
46.2
|
211.9
|
-78%
|
2.
|
ASSAM
|
29.1
|
149.2
|
-81%
|
3.
|
MEGHALAYA
|
49.6
|
265.8
|
-81%
|
4.
|
NAGALAND
|
64.5
|
148.5
|
-57%
|
5.
|
MANIPUR
|
43.7
|
209.5
|
-79%
|
6.
|
MIZORAM
|
73.6
|
289.4
|
-75%
|
7.
|
TRIPURA
|
60.6
|
209.3
|
-71%
|
8.
|
SIKKIM
|
39.9
|
266.1
|
-85%
|
9.
|
WEST BENGAL
|
49.6
|
145.2
|
-66%
|
10.
|
ODISHA
|
113.9
|
136.1
|
-16%
|
11.
|
JHARKHAND
|
44.9
|
82.5
|
-46%
|
12.
|
BIHAR
|
47.8
|
70.6
|
-32%
|
13.
|
UTTARAKHAND
|
40.8
|
64.5
|
-37%
|
14.
|
HARYANA
|
11.1
|
19.3
|
-43%
|
15.
|
CHANDIGARH(UT)
|
12.4
|
37.8
|
-67%
|
16.
|
DELHI
|
1.0
|
21.9
|
-95%
|
17.
|
PUNJAB
|
6.7
|
25.0
|
-73%
|
18.
|
HIMACHAL PRADESH
|
20.9
|
51.9
|
-60%
|
19.
|
JAMMU & KASHMIR
|
50.4
|
56.1
|
-10%
|
20.
|
RAJASTHAN
|
2.1
|
13.3
|
-84%
|
21.
|
MADHYA PRADESH
|
30.9
|
40.9
|
-24%
|
22.
|
GUJARAT
|
7.7
|
27.4
|
-72%
|
23.
|
DNH & DAMAN(UTs)
|
1.7
|
45.6
|
-96%
|
24.
|
DIU(UT)
|
9.2
|
42.4
|
-78%
|
25.
|
MAHARASHTRA
|
48.2
|
87.5
|
-45%
|
26.
|
ANDHRA PRADESH
|
176.1
|
232.3
|
-24%
|
27.
|
TELANGANA
|
54.9
|
109.0
|
-50%
|
28.
|
KARNATAKA
|
150.5
|
168.4
|
-11%
|
29.
|
LAKSHADWEEP(UT)
|
218.6
|
242.2
|
-10%
|
· For remaining subdivision there is no shortfall of rainfall during the season.
· For country as a whole seasonal rainfall was 29 % below of its long period average.
This information was given by Minister of Science and Technology and Earth Sciences Dr. Harsh Vardhan in a written reply in Lok Sabha today.
http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=112981
http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=112981
